Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.032448 0.035591 0.038783 0.042261 0.045939 0.049706 0.053848
2025-08-17 0.026714 0.031221 0.035984 0.041364 0.047248 0.053464 0.060501
2025-08-24 0.022477 0.027877 0.033790 0.040687 0.048450 0.056862 0.066612
2025-08-31 0.020243 0.026440 0.033439 0.041819 0.051474 0.062148 0.074744
2025-09-07 0.018277 0.025067 0.032958 0.042632 0.054009 0.066807 0.082138
2025-09-14 0.016496 0.023716 0.032335 0.043137 0.056076 0.070858 0.088803
2025-09-21 0.014823 0.022326 0.031523 0.043292 0.057634 0.074251 0.094665
2025-09-28 0.013892 0.021780 0.031666 0.044538 0.060445 0.079085 0.102202
2025-10-05 0.012276 0.020194 0.030384 0.043919 0.060915 0.081084 0.106362
2025-10-12 0.011132 0.019144 0.029703 0.043981 0.062159 0.083967 0.111546
2025-10-19 0.010321 0.018482 0.029473 0.044568 0.064022 0.087578 0.117594
2025-10-26 0.009720 0.018067 0.029532 0.045500 0.066298 0.091688 0.124256
2025-11-02 0.008233 0.016254 0.027619 0.043795 0.065209 0.091675 0.125959
2025-11-09 0.007302 0.015198 0.026692 0.043352 0.065704 0.093609 0.130043
2025-11-16 0.006458 0.014202 0.025785 0.042884 0.066129 0.095431 0.133982
2025-11-23 0.006177 0.014095 0.026156 0.044171 0.068870 0.100196 0.141608
2025-11-30 0.005817 0.013823 0.026260 0.045071 0.071092 0.104309 0.148440
2025-12-07 0.005401 0.013415 0.026131 0.045623 0.072837 0.107811 0.154517
2025-12-14 0.004932 0.012869 0.025756 0.045797 0.074056 0.110628 0.159734
2025-12-21 0.004751 0.012831 0.026162 0.047097 0.076812 0.115451 0.167518
2025-12-28 0.004177 0.011998 0.025268 0.046459 0.076881 0.116756 0.170812
2026-01-04 0.003795 0.011492 0.024867 0.046524 0.077904 0.119302 0.175694
2026-01-11 0.003545 0.011227 0.024840 0.047134 0.079681 0.122839 0.181858